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Bulls Start Great! Finish in Fizzle…

August 12th, 2018

New Video Format – Click to Watch The S&P 500 started the week off great! But then…but then the selling ensued. The S&P 500 ended the week with a sell signal at resistance. Don’t know if the selling will continue, but there is an obvious bear case coming into the week. The bear ‘o’ meter slid slighter signaling more risk in the US markets. It is still bullish overall, but it is showing weakness in the US equities markets. The weakness is due to market breadth decreasing (less and less stocks rising with the index) while the S&P 500 continued higher. This week we are looking to take risk off the table given the opportunity. The international holdings have just not been up to snuff. They seemed to be bouncing from support, but have not triggered a sell signal as of last week. If they break support, we will certainly…

Bulls Continue Pressure

August 5th, 2018

YouTube Channel – Watch and Subscribe! The bulls were able to hold the bears down this past week with regards to the S&P 500. The S&P 500 ended up finishing up .76% for the week when the closing bell was struck on Friday afternoon. It wasn’t a great week for the bulls as they were not able to surpass the previous weeks highs, but given that they stopped the bears from triggering the sell signal, they didn’t do too bad. The S&P 500 is close to all-time highs and if it breaks the highs, we will want to see a strong break that cast doubt in the bear’s hearts. The Bear ‘o’ Meter continues to remain positive, or risk on for the longer-term. The monthly signals all stayed positive for the month and the weekly ones remained positive as well. Of course, the S&P 500 could be topping right now, but…

Bulls Start Week in Blaze, But Can’t Hold On

July 29th, 2018

YouTube Channel – Watch and Subscribe! It was a weak the bulls celebrated until the bears started to step in on Thursday. The bears couldn’t do much damage until Friday rolled around. The good economic data didn’t help, the bears took S&P 500 down for the day, wiping out about half of the week’s gains. So after the closing bell on Friday, the S&P 500 settled for a raise of .61% for the week. The Bear ‘o’ Meter again stays the same for this week. A couple of interesting things happened this past week…One, the parts of the market that were leading took a back seat this past week as US Large Caps and US Value outperformed their respective counterparts, US Small Caps and US Growth. This could suggest the start of a rotation towards these types of stocks, but it is not enough to change any allocations just yet. The…

Bulls Try, But No Progress

July 22nd, 2018

YouTube Channel – Watch and Subscribe! The bulls and bears called it a draw after a week of another trading. Neither one of the parties was able to show dominance for the week. After the closing bell on Friday, the S&P 500 was up .02% for the week. The Bear ‘o’ Meter stays the same for this week. Large, fairly diversified indexes, such as the S&P 500, typically don’t rise sharply in price and subsequently fall sharply in price. It is many times more of a rolling type of action. One may argue that we have started that ‘roll process.’ And they could be right, but we still have certain sectors of the S&P 500, technology, consumer discretionary (to name a couple) that are making new highs. Chances are, we’d see some topping process in these sectors before the S&P 500 is ready to give up. Index Swings The swing indexes…

Bulls Bring S&P 500 to Tippy Top of Trading Range

July 15th, 2018

​YouTube Channel – Watch and Subscribe! The bulls continued the pressure on bears. They were able to raise the S&P 500 another 1.5% from the previous week. The bulls were barely able to break the larger trading range going back to March of 2018. If they can show some strength early in the week, we may see a short-squeeze catapulting the S&P 500 even higher. The Bear ‘o’ Meter didn’t budge from last week. All in all, the S&P 500 looks bullish. You’ve got fundamental factors such as GAAP Earnings (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) and Employment numbers that look good. Technically, you’ve got stocks still making new highs and some of the major asset classes following suit. Of course, all this can change in relatively short order, but right now it appears relatively healthy despite any negative news. Index Swings The swing indexes we like are the following: Extended Treasury /…